{
  "format": "vercy-model-allocation-candidate/v1",
  "contourId": "EM-STR-01",
  "proposedName": "Strategic Scenario",
  "modelId": null,
  "registryId": null,
  "allocationState": "unassigned",
  "decision": "NEW MODEL",
  "canonicalPublishable": false,
  "identityTest": {
    "stableIdentity": "A versioned hypothesis space remains identifiable independently of strategies, forecasts and authoritative actuals.",
    "versionIdentity": "Driver, assumption, method, uncertainty or projected-state changes create immutable successor versions.",
    "independentLifecycle": [
      "draft",
      "reviewed",
      "approved",
      "published",
      "active",
      "invalidated",
      "superseded",
      "retired"
    ],
    "mastership": "authorized strategic foresight authority",
    "authoritativeness": {
      "sourceOfRecord": false,
      "mayMasterActuals": false,
      "mayMasterBaselines": false,
      "mayMasterOutcomes": false,
      "mayMasterBenefits": false,
      "authorityTransferOnCitation": false
    }
  },
  "boundary": {
    "owns": [
      "strategic-scenario identity",
      "immutable scenario versions",
      "drivers and varied assumptions",
      "projected states",
      "method and uncertainty",
      "validity and defeat conditions",
      "successor history"
    ],
    "references": [
      {
        "target": null,
        "purpose": "Hypothesis and claim",
        "targetState": "identifier-unassigned",
        "enforceable": false
      },
      {
        "target": "WM-KNW-010",
        "purpose": "Decision rationale"
      },
      {
        "target": null,
        "purpose": "Outcome and Benefit Realization (EM-STR-02)",
        "targetState": "identifier-unassigned",
        "enforceable": false
      },
      {
        "target": "WM-REC-010",
        "purpose": "Publication of hypothesis space; confers no source-of-record status",
        "authorityTransfer": false
      }
    ],
    "excludes": [
      "authoritative actual",
      "target baseline",
      "observed outcome",
      "benefit realization",
      "strategy authority",
      "causal fact",
      "value mechanism",
      "recipient value-state stage",
      "initiative",
      "strategic theme",
      "value proposition"
    ],
    "versionCoupling": {
      "coupled": false,
      "linkedBy": [
        "WM-ACT-024",
        "WM-REC-010"
      ],
      "sharedBaseline": false
    }
  },
  "objects": {
    "StrategicScenario": {
      "identity": [
        "strategicScenarioId"
      ],
      "required": [
        "name",
        "ownerRef",
        "status"
      ],
      "optional": [
        "successorRef"
      ]
    },
    "ScenarioVersion": {
      "identity": [
        "strategicScenarioId",
        "version"
      ],
      "required": [
        "drivers",
        "assumptions",
        "projectedStates",
        "method",
        "uncertainty",
        "contentDigest"
      ],
      "optional": [
        "validityWindow",
        "defeatConditions",
        "supersedesVersion"
      ]
    }
  },
  "invariants": [
    "A scenario may be cited by many strategies.",
    "Scenario authority never transfers to a citing strategy.",
    "Assumptions have validity windows.",
    "Assumptions have defeat conditions.",
    "Competing explanations remain explicit.",
    "Uncertainty is recorded.",
    "Scenario output never becomes authoritative actual.",
    "Forecast remains forecast until qualified observation.",
    "Published versions are immutable.",
    "Invalidation preserves history.",
    "Scenario state never mutates baseline status.",
    "A successor release of one root never compels a successor release of another; cross-root change is linked only by reference.",
    "The Outcome and Benefit Realization referent is unallocated and is never silently promoted.",
    "A scenario projection never becomes a target baseline, whether explicitly, implicitly or by relabelling.",
    "Lifecycle state never confers source-of-record status."
  ],
  "holds": [
    "Registry allocation is pending and no identifier may be guessed.",
    "Independent Grok review and one frozen semantic audit are pending.",
    "Capability and process realization remain blocked on legacy specifications.",
    "Package conversion and live verification are pending."
  ],
  "digest": {
    "algorithm": "sha-256",
    "canonicalization": "RFC 8785 JSON Canonicalization Scheme",
    "scope": "full release/version excluding contentDigest"
  }
}