consequence
Let an agent record consequences with their cause, likelihood, timing and severity, and keep predicted and actual consequences apart.
Bundle → Layer → Finding → Questions Filled
4 bundles · 8 layers · 8 findings · 16 questions
Cause and link What it follows from.
Cause
Originating event.
Cause
The originating cause.
- What caused this consequence? provenance
- How strong is the causal link? measurement
Pathway
How it came about.
Pathway
Intermediate steps.
- Through which steps did the cause lead to it? definition
- Could it have been interrupted? boundary
Status Predicted or actual.
Predicted
Forecasts.
Prediction
Predicted consequences.
- Is this consequence predicted or observed? definition
- How likely is it? measurement
Actual
Observed outcomes.
Observation
Observed outcomes.
- What actually happened, according to which source? provenance
- How does it compare with the prediction? measurement
Severity How much it matters.
Scale
Severity rating.
Severity
Severity on a scale.
- How severe is the consequence, on which scale? measurement
- Who is affected? boundary
Duration
Short or long term.
Duration
How long it lasts.
- How long will the consequence last? measurement
- Is it reversible? boundary
Response Dealing with it.
Mitigation
Reducing harm.
Mitigation
Measures taken.
- What can reduce this consequence? action
- Who should act? provenance
Accountability
Responsibility.
Accountability
Who answers for it.
- Who is responsible for this consequence? provenance
- What remedies exist? action
Classifiers Filled
- Family
- Thing Registry
- Category
- Physical world and living systems
- Entry kind
- noun.phenomenon
- Plane
- PHY
- Domain
- PHY.FLW
- Facets: substance
- energy
- Facets: origin
- natural
- Facets: agency
- inert
- Facets: mobility
- not-applicable
- Facets: scale
- not-applicable
- Facets: affordances
- observable
- Other names and narrower kinds
- offspring, materialization, materialisation, effect, outcome, result, event, issue, upshot, aftereffect, aftermath, wake
What it is Filled
A phenomenon that follows and is caused by some previous phenomenon; a result, outcome or effect.
Why it exists Filled
Let an agent record consequences with their cause, likelihood, timing and severity, and keep predicted and actual consequences apart.
Distinguishing features Filled
- Follows from a cause
- Can be intended or unintended
- Predicted and actual consequences differ
- Severity and likelihood are separate
What robots and AI may and may not do Filled
Must not
- Present a predicted consequence as certain.
- Attribute an outcome to the wrong cause.
- Hide foreseeable harmful consequences from the people deciding.
Only with a human decision
- Accepting serious consequences on behalf of people who will bear them.
May
- Describe likely consequences of a decision, stating uncertainty and assumptions.
- Point out unintended consequences that others may miss.
Moral aspects Filled
- Those who bear consequences are often not those who decide.
Who is affected
- People affected by decisions
- Decision makers
Owners Filled
Steward
Nobody owns the concept; whoever acts answers for the consequences.
Links to other meta-models Filled
parent
- oewn-00034512-n - registry parent class
related
- causality - cause and effect
- risk - consequence and likelihood
- evaluation - outcomes
- correlation - following is not causing
What else AI and robots need to interact with it Filled
Identity and identifiers required Filled
- Vercy registry: vr.tr.consequence
- Open English WordNet: oewn-11430739-n
Direct properties not applicable Not applicable
Not applicable
A consequence is defined by its causal relationship to an earlier phenomenon and has no intrinsic physical properties shared across its instances.
Recognition required Filled
- Words such as result, outcome, effect, impact
- Outcome measures in evaluations
- Consequence ratings in risk matrices
- Not a thing to see; described as outcomes in reports, assessments and narratives.
Capabilities and actions required Filled
- predict it, before acting
- observe and record it, after the fact
- attribute it, to a cause
- mitigate it, when harmful
Hazards and failure modes required Filled
- Treating a predicted consequence as certain
- Ignoring unintended consequences
- Attributing outcomes to the wrong cause
Standards and interfaces required Filled
- ISO 31000 on consequences in risk assessment
- Environmental and regulatory impact assessment rules
Context of use required Filled
- Reasoning about what follows from actions and events, for decisions and accountability.
- intended and unintended consequences
- direct and indirect effects
- short- and long-term outcomes
- legal consequences
Sources Filled
- Open English WordNet 2024, synset oewn-11430739-n - sense and gloss of the concept
- Wiktionary: consequence - word senses and usage
Open questions
- Should intended and unintended consequences be distinguished in records?
- How should consequence severity scales be harmonised?
- The registry entry has merged aliases such as offspring and event; should they be split off?
Machine files
Provenance
thing registry research (pass 2) · unreviewed
Built from: models/things/publications/thing-consequence/spec.json