weather
Let an agent handle weather with place, time, source and uncertainty, give official warnings first, and separate weather from climate.
Research draft, second pass
A second pass drafted this model: the structure a model of this thing needs, and what is known about it in the world. The line under this one says how the second half was obtained - researched against sources, or recalled without web access, in which case nothing here was read anywhere and every claim is a lead to verify. Unreviewed either way.
written by Claude from model knowledge without web access - no source was read, every claim is a lead to verify
Researched by: Claude
Purpose and description
Let an agent handle weather with place, time, source and uncertainty, give official warnings first, and separate weather from climate.
The state of the atmosphere at a place and time, in terms of temperature, precipitation, wind, cloud, humidity and pressure; space weather refers to conditions in near-Earth space.
What it is for: Planning daily life, transport, farming and safety.
It can be observe and measure it; forecast it; warn about hazardous weather; plan around it.
Distinguishing features
State at a time and place, unlike climate
Forecasts are probabilistic
Official warnings are issued by national services
Space weather affects satellites and power grids
What it looks like
Sky, clouds, rain, snow, sunshine and wind; forecasts on maps and apps.
Physical character
temperature range at the surface: -89 to 57 degrees C - recorded extremes
How it is recognised
Observations and forecasts with times and places
Warnings with levels and colours
Weather lore is not a forecast
Related models
includes - phenomena
is confused with - long-term average
can cause - extremes
is measured with - instruments
In practice
Families and kinds
precipitation, wind, temperature, cloud
severe weather: storms, heat waves, cold spells
marine weather and heatwaves
space weather
Identifiers
WMO station id five digits observation stations
CAP alert Common Alerting Protocol message warnings
Standards and regulation
WMO technical regulations
National weather service warnings
Common Alerting Protocol (CAP)
Failure modes and hazards
Ignoring official warnings
Reading probability forecasts as certainty
Heat and cold harm
Out-of-date forecasts
Also called
Where this came from
wikidata · CC0 1.0
Also registered as vr.tr.weather
Drafted structure
Bundle to layer to finding to question, as the second pass will find it: 4 bundles · 8 layers · 8 findings · 16 questions.
Conditions Current weather.
Current conditions need place and time.
Observation
Measured now.
Observation
Current observations.
- What are the current conditions, where and when, from which station? provenance
- How representative is the station? boundary
Elements
Temperature, wind, rain.
Elements
Weather elements.
- What are the temperature, wind and precipitation? measurement
- What does it feel like with wind chill or humidity? measurement
Forecast What is coming.
Forecasts are uncertain.
Prediction
Forecast details.
Forecast
Forecast and issuer.
- What is forecast, by which service, issued when? provenance
- How confident is it? measurement
Probability
Chances.
Probability
Probabilities.
- What does the stated probability mean? definition
- How should it inform plans? action
Warnings Hazardous weather.
Official warnings come first.
Alerts
Warning levels.
Alerts
Active warnings.
- Which official warnings are in force here? provenance
- What level, and until when? measurement
Actions
What to do.
Actions
Protective actions.
- What should people do under this warning? action
- Who is most at risk? boundary
Context Climate and records.
Context helps interpret weather.
Climate
Normal conditions.
Climate
How this compares with normal.
- How does this compare with the climate normal? measurement
- Is it a record? provenance
Space weather
Solar activity.
Space weather
Space weather conditions.
- Is there a space weather alert? provenance
- What could it affect? boundary
What the second pass must settle
- Should weather elements be separate entries?
- How should agents present live warnings?
- How should space weather be linked?