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Research draft

luck

vr.tr.luck · XCT.QLT

Let an agent explain luck as a concept and its cultural interpretations, relay philosophical, psychological and probabilistic perspectives from academic sources with attribution, describe superstitions and beliefs neutrally, and distinguish luck from skill, probability and fate.

Thing Registry Cross-cutting context

Research draft, second pass

A second pass drafted this model: the structure a model of this thing needs, and what is known about it in the world. The line under this one says how the second half was obtained - researched against sources, or recalled without web access, in which case nothing here was read anywhere and every claim is a lead to verify. Unreviewed either way.

written by Claude from model knowledge without web access - no source was read, every claim is a lead to verify

Researched by: Claude

Purpose and description

Let an agent explain luck as a concept and its cultural interpretations, relay philosophical, psychological and probabilistic perspectives from academic sources with attribution, describe superstitions and beliefs neutrally, and distinguish luck from skill, probability and fate.

The experience of good or bad events that happen by chance rather than through one s own actions, called good fortune when favourable and misfortune, mishap or tribulation when unfavourable, interpreted across cultures through beliefs in fate, providence, charms and superstitions such as the Italian scarogna, and studied in philosophy as moral luck, in psychology as attribution and belief in luck, and in probability as randomness; the concept is distinct from skill and from statistical chance itself.

What it is for: Not applicable; a concept.

It can be explain the concept; relay perspectives; describe beliefs neutrally; distinguish related concepts.

Distinguishing features

Chance attribution

Valenced good or bad

Cultural beliefs

Philosophical puzzles

What it looks like

Not a visible object; chance outcomes.

How it is recognised

Good or bad events by chance

Good fortune, misfortune, mishap, tribulation, perdition in older usage, superstitions such as scarogna

Skill produces outcomes by ability; probability is the mathematics of chance; fate implies predetermination

Related models

is a kind of - in registry terms

subjective quality

is studied as - in philosophy

moral luck

is contrasted with - in games and life

skill

is related to - as the mathematics of chance

probability

In practice

Families and kinds

good fortune and good luck

misfortune, mishap and tribulation

moral luck in philosophy

belief in luck and superstitions such as charms and jinxes

luck in games and gambling

religious ideas of providence and karma as alternatives to luck

Standards and regulation

No regulation; gambling laws distinguish games of chance from skill

Failure modes and hazards

Confusing luck with probability

Endorsing superstitions as fact

Ignoring structural factors behind apparent luck

Registry alias perdition belongs to a religious sense

Also called

good fortunetribulationmisfortuneperditionScarognamishap

Where this came from

wikidata · CC0 1.0

Also registered as vr.tr.luck-phenomenon

Drafted structure

Bundle to layer to finding to question, as the second pass will find it: 4 bundles · 8 layers · 8 findings · 16 questions.

Understand What luck is.

Definition.

Definition

Definition.

Definition

Definition.

  1. What is luck, and how does it differ from skill, probability and fate? definition
  2. Is the question about the concept, a belief, gambling or a personal situation? boundary

Terms

Terms.

Terms

Terms.

  1. What do good fortune, misfortune, mishap, tribulation and terms such as scarogna mean? definition
  2. Which entry fits the specific term? action
Study Perspectives.

Attribution.

Philosophy

Philosophy.

Philosophy

Philosophy.

  1. What is moral luck, and how do Williams, Nagel and others treat luck in ethics and epistemology, with positions attributed? provenance
  2. Which references are standard? provenance

Psychology

Psychology.

Psychology

Psychology.

  1. How do people attribute outcomes to luck, and what does research on belief in luck show? provenance
  2. Which sources are cited? provenance
Beliefs Beliefs and culture.

Attribution.

Superstition

Superstitions.

Superstition

Superstition.

  1. What lucky and unlucky beliefs, charms and jinxes exist across cultures, presented neutrally? provenance
  2. Is the presentation neutral? boundary

Religion

Religion and fate.

Religion

Religion.

  1. How do providence, karma and fate offer alternatives to luck, as traditions state them? provenance
  2. Which entry fits the specific concept? action
Context Chance and society.

Context.

Games

Games and gambling.

Games

Games.

  1. How do games mix luck and skill, and how do laws distinguish them? provenance
  2. Which entry fits game of chance? action

Society

Luck and inequality.

Society

Society.

  1. How do economists and philosophers discuss luck in success and inequality, with positions attributed? provenance
  2. Which entry fits luck egalitarianism? action

What the second pass must settle

  • Should moral luck and superstition be separate primary entries?
  • How should academic sources be linked?
  • The registry entry has merged aliases from religion and Italian folk belief; should they be split off?