{
  "vercy": "1.0-draft",
  "publication": {
    "status": "research-draft",
    "adjudicationStatus": "unreviewed",
    "publishableCanonical": false,
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T07:40:02Z",
    "providers": [
      "Claude"
    ],
    "breadth": "written by Claude from model knowledge without web access - no source was read, every claim is a lead to verify",
    "pass": 2,
    "wave": 1,
    "engine": "claude",
    "enrichment": {
      "pass": 3,
      "engine": "claude",
      "producedAt": "2026-10-05T16:30:00Z",
      "ingestedAt": "2026-10-05T13:21:23+00:00",
      "fields": [
        "agent_conduct",
        "ethics",
        "owners"
      ]
    },
    "gate": {
      "passed": true,
      "version": "1.0",
      "at": "2026-10-06T19:51:59+00:00",
      "evidence": [
        "completeness 1.00",
        "sense: Wikidata description",
        "2 live sources",
        "review by codex: pass"
      ]
    }
  },
  "metaModel": {
    "id": "THING-Q344",
    "registryId": "vr.tr.future",
    "name": "future",
    "version": "0.2.0-wave.1",
    "entryKind": "thing",
    "family": "Thing Registry",
    "domain": [
      "XCT.TME"
    ],
    "status": "research-draft"
  },
  "canonicalUrl": "https://ver.cy/models/thing/q344/",
  "model": {
    "registry_id": "vr.tr.future",
    "name": "future",
    "purpose": "Let an agent handle the future by horizon, domain, method and uncertainty, separating forecasts from speculation.",
    "definition": "The time after the present moment, including the near and far future; the subject of forecasting, planning, futures studies and speculation.",
    "what_it_is_for": "Planning, forecasting and imagining what comes next.",
    "affordances": [
      "plan for near-term events",
      "forecast with stated uncertainty",
      "build scenarios",
      "study long-term futures"
    ],
    "distinguishing_features": [
      "Not yet happened",
      "Uncertain",
      "Studied through forecasting and foresight",
      "Depends on present choices"
    ],
    "appearance": "Not observable; represented by plans, forecasts and scenarios.",
    "visual_identification": [
      "Horizons such as tonight, near future, far future",
      "Forecasts and scenarios",
      "Future tense in grammar is a related sense"
    ],
    "physical_properties": [],
    "families_and_kinds": [
      "near future",
      "medium term",
      "far future",
      "futures of fields such as mathematics",
      "future of humanity studies"
    ],
    "related_models": [
      {
        "relation": "is a kind of",
        "target": "time",
        "why": "category"
      },
      {
        "relation": "is contrasted with",
        "target": "past and present",
        "why": "times"
      },
      {
        "relation": "is studied by",
        "target": "futures studies",
        "why": "field"
      },
      {
        "relation": "is estimated by",
        "target": "forecast",
        "why": "method"
      }
    ],
    "identifiers": [],
    "standards_and_regulation": [
      "Foresight practice guidance"
    ],
    "failure_modes_and_hazards": [
      "Presenting speculation as fact",
      "Overconfident forecasts",
      "Ignoring uncertainty"
    ],
    "in_scope": [],
    "out_of_scope": [],
    "characteristics": [],
    "agent_conduct": {
      "may": [
        "Make forecasts and scenarios with stated assumptions and uncertainty.",
        "Help people plan for future events."
      ],
      "must_not": [
        "Present predictions as certainties.",
        "Use fear of the future to manipulate people into decisions.",
        "Sell fortune telling or forecasts of personal fate as reliable.",
        "Ignore future generations' interests in long-term advice."
      ],
      "requires_human": [
        "Acting on long-term forecasts that commit others' resources."
      ]
    },
    "ethics": {
      "considerations": [
        "Decisions today bind future generations who cannot speak.",
        "False certainty about the future misleads people."
      ],
      "affected_parties": [
        "Future generations",
        "People making plans",
        "The public"
      ]
    },
    "owners": {
      "steward": "Nobody owns the future; forecasters answer for their forecasts.",
      "master_systems": []
    }
  },
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "wikidata",
      "title": "Wikidata item Q344: future",
      "url": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q344",
      "url_status": "live",
      "what_it_supports": "identity and sense of the item",
      "checked_by": "wikidata-api"
    },
    {
      "id": "wikipedia-en",
      "title": "Wikipedia: Future",
      "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future",
      "url_status": "live",
      "what_it_supports": "general description of the item",
      "checked_by": "wikidata-api sitelink"
    }
  ],
  "structure": {
    "bundles": [
      {
        "id": "horizon",
        "name": "Horizon",
        "description": "How far ahead.",
        "rationale": "Horizon decides methods.",
        "layers": [
          {
            "id": "span",
            "name": "Span",
            "description": "Near or far.",
            "findings": [
              {
                "id": "span-finding",
                "name": "Span",
                "description": "Horizon.",
                "questions": [
                  {
                    "text": "How far ahead is the question about?",
                    "kind": "measurement"
                  },
                  {
                    "text": "Which methods suit that horizon?",
                    "kind": "definition"
                  }
                ]
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "domain",
            "name": "Domain",
            "description": "Field.",
            "findings": [
              {
                "id": "domain-finding",
                "name": "Domain",
                "description": "Domain.",
                "questions": [
                  {
                    "text": "Which domain is the future question about?",
                    "kind": "definition"
                  },
                  {
                    "text": "Which specific entry fits?",
                    "kind": "action"
                  }
                ]
              }
            ]
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "id": "forecasting",
        "name": "Forecasting",
        "description": "Predictions.",
        "rationale": "Forecasts need uncertainty.",
        "layers": [
          {
            "id": "forecast",
            "name": "Forecast",
            "description": "Estimate.",
            "findings": [
              {
                "id": "forecast-finding",
                "name": "Forecast",
                "description": "Forecast.",
                "questions": [
                  {
                    "text": "What do reputable forecasts say, and with what uncertainty?",
                    "kind": "provenance"
                  },
                  {
                    "text": "Who made them?",
                    "kind": "provenance"
                  }
                ]
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "track-record",
            "name": "Track record",
            "description": "Accuracy.",
            "findings": [
              {
                "id": "track-record-finding",
                "name": "Track record",
                "description": "Accuracy.",
                "questions": [
                  {
                    "text": "How accurate have similar forecasts been?",
                    "kind": "measurement"
                  },
                  {
                    "text": "Were they evaluated?",
                    "kind": "provenance"
                  }
                ]
              }
            ]
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "id": "scenarios",
        "name": "Scenarios",
        "description": "Possible futures.",
        "rationale": "Scenarios explore options.",
        "layers": [
          {
            "id": "options",
            "name": "Options",
            "description": "Alternatives.",
            "findings": [
              {
                "id": "options-finding",
                "name": "Options",
                "description": "Scenarios.",
                "questions": [
                  {
                    "text": "What plausible scenarios exist?",
                    "kind": "definition"
                  },
                  {
                    "text": "What drives them?",
                    "kind": "definition"
                  }
                ]
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "planning",
            "name": "Planning",
            "description": "Decisions.",
            "findings": [
              {
                "id": "planning-finding",
                "name": "Planning",
                "description": "Planning.",
                "questions": [
                  {
                    "text": "How should plans adapt to different scenarios?",
                    "kind": "action"
                  },
                  {
                    "text": "What early signs matter?",
                    "kind": "definition"
                  }
                ]
              }
            ]
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "id": "limits",
        "name": "Limits",
        "description": "Speculation.",
        "rationale": "Speculation must be labelled.",
        "layers": [
          {
            "id": "labelling",
            "name": "Labelling",
            "description": "Fact vs speculation.",
            "findings": [
              {
                "id": "labelling-finding",
                "name": "Labelling",
                "description": "Labelling.",
                "questions": [
                  {
                    "text": "Is speculation clearly labelled as such?",
                    "kind": "boundary"
                  },
                  {
                    "text": "Are sources given?",
                    "kind": "provenance"
                  }
                ]
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "id": "senses",
            "name": "Senses",
            "description": "Grammar and finance.",
            "findings": [
              {
                "id": "senses-finding",
                "name": "Senses",
                "description": "Other senses.",
                "questions": [
                  {
                    "text": "Is the future tense or a futures contract meant?",
                    "kind": "boundary"
                  },
                  {
                    "text": "Which entry fits?",
                    "kind": "action"
                  }
                ]
              }
            ]
          }
        ]
      }
    ]
  },
  "openQuestions": [
    "Should horizons be separate entries?",
    "How should forecasts be linked?",
    "How should the grammatical sense be split off?"
  ],
  "statistics": {
    "bundles": 4,
    "layers": 8,
    "findings": 8,
    "questions": 16
  }
}