{ "vercy": "1.0-draft", "publication": { "status": "research-draft", "adjudicationStatus": "unreviewed", "publishableCanonical": false, "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T01:04:35Z", "providers": [ "Claude" ], "breadth": "written by Claude from model knowledge without web access - no source was read, every claim is a lead to verify", "pass": 2, "wave": 3, "engine": "claude", "enrichment": { "pass": 3, "engine": "claude", "producedAt": "2026-10-06T10:00:00Z", "ingestedAt": "2026-10-06T07:03:13+00:00", "fields": [ "agent_conduct", "ethics", "owners" ] }, "gate": { "passed": true, "version": "1.0", "at": "2026-10-06T19:52:00+00:00", "evidence": [ "completeness 1.00", "sense: Wikidata description", "2 live sources", "review by codex: pass" ] } }, "metaModel": { "id": "THING-Q43059", "registryId": "vr.tr.drought", "name": "drought", "version": "0.2.0-wave.3", "entryKind": "thing", "family": "Thing Registry", "domain": [ "XCT.STA" ], "status": "research-draft" }, "canonicalUrl": "https://ver.cy/models/thing/q43059/", "model": { "registry_id": "vr.tr.drought", "name": "drought", "purpose": "Let an agent explain drought and its types, relay monitoring, impacts and management from meteorological and water agencies, describe climate change links with attribution, and route emergency water and relief questions to authorities.", "definition": "A prolonged period of abnormally low precipitation relative to the norm for a region, leading to water shortage, crop failure, ecosystem stress and economic loss, classified as meteorological, agricultural, hydrological and socioeconomic drought, with flash droughts developing over weeks and megadroughts lasting decades; droughts are monitored with indices such as the Standardised Precipitation Index and are becoming more severe in many regions with climate change.", "what_it_is_for": "Not applicable; a hazard and climatic state.", "affordances": [ "explain types and causes", "relay monitoring and indices", "describe impacts and management", "relay climate change links" ], "distinguishing_features": [ "Slow-onset hazard", "Relative to regional norm", "Cascading impacts", "Index-based monitoring" ], "appearance": "Dry cracked soil, low reservoirs, withered crops and reduced river flows.", "visual_identification": [ "Prolonged precipitation deficit", "Meteorological, agricultural, hydrological, flash and mega droughts", "Aridity is a permanent climate condition; heatwaves are temperature events, though they often coincide" ], "physical_properties": [ { "quantity": "people affected annually", "typical_range": "about 55 million", "unit": "people", "note": "WHO estimates" } ], "families_and_kinds": [ "meteorological drought", "agricultural drought", "hydrological drought", "socioeconomic drought", "flash drought", "megadrought", "historical droughts such as the Dust Bowl" ], "related_models": [ { "relation": "is a kind of", "target": "extreme weather event", "why": "in registry terms" }, { "relation": "is a kind of", "target": "meteorological disaster", "why": "in registry terms" }, { "relation": "is a kind of", "target": "dry spell", "why": "in registry terms, when prolonged" }, { "relation": "is monitored by", "target": "drought index", "why": "such as SPI and PDSI" } ], "identifiers": [], "standards_and_regulation": [ "WMO drought monitoring guidance", "National drought plans and water restriction rules", "UN Convention to Combat Desertification", "Disaster relief frameworks" ], "failure_modes_and_hazards": [ "Famine and water shortage", "Wildfire and ecosystem loss", "Economic and migration impacts", "Presenting attribution debates as settled" ], "in_scope": [], "out_of_scope": [], "characteristics": [], "agent_conduct": { "may": [ "Report drought indices, reservoir levels and official drought status with their source and date.", "Share water restriction rules and conservation advice from the responsible authority." ], "must_not": [ "Declare or lift a drought status without the authority that holds that power.", "Hide or soften drought data that farmers and water users need to plan.", "Allocate or cut water supplies to users on its own judgement.", "Present a single dry month as a drought, or a single rain as its end." ], "requires_human": [ "Any decision on water allocation, restriction or emergency measures." ] }, "ethics": { "considerations": [ "Drought hits the poorest farmers and herders hardest and can drive hunger and displacement.", "Water allocation decisions set users against each other and deserve transparency." ], "affected_parties": [ "Farmers and herders", "Households on restricted supply", "Ecosystems and river life" ] }, "owners": { "steward": "The water authority or basin agency of the region; meteorological services monitor conditions.", "master_systems": [ "National drought monitors and hydrological records" ] } }, "sources": [ { "id": "wikidata", "title": "Wikidata item Q43059: drought", "url": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43059", "url_status": "live", "what_it_supports": "identity and sense of the item", "checked_by": "wikidata-api" }, { "id": "wikipedia-en", "title": "Wikipedia: Drought", "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drought", "url_status": "live", "what_it_supports": "general description of the item", "checked_by": "wikidata-api sitelink" } ], "structure": { "bundles": [ { "id": "understand", "name": "Understand", "description": "What drought is.", "rationale": "Science.", "layers": [ { "id": "definition", "name": "Definition", "description": "Definition and types.", "findings": [ { "id": "definition-finding", "name": "Definition", "description": "Definition.", "questions": [ { "text": "What is drought, and how do its types differ?", "kind": "definition" }, { "text": "Is the condition drought, aridity or a heatwave?", "kind": "boundary" } ] } ] }, { "id": "causes", "name": "Causes", "description": "Causes.", "findings": [ { "id": "causes-finding", "name": "Causes", "description": "Causes.", "questions": [ { "text": "What causes droughts, from circulation patterns to El Nino and climate change, as science describes?", "kind": "provenance" }, { "text": "Which entry fits the specific driver?", "kind": "action" } ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "monitor", "name": "Monitor", "description": "Monitoring and forecasting.", "rationale": "Data.", "layers": [ { "id": "indices", "name": "Indices", "description": "Indices.", "findings": [ { "id": "indices-finding", "name": "Indices", "description": "Indices.", "questions": [ { "text": "How are droughts measured with indices such as SPI and PDSI?", "kind": "provenance" }, { "text": "Which references are standard?", "kind": "provenance" } ] } ] }, { "id": "current", "name": "Current", "description": "Current conditions.", "findings": [ { "id": "current-finding", "name": "Current", "description": "Current.", "questions": [ { "text": "Where are droughts occurring now, from official monitors?", "kind": "measurement" }, { "text": "Is the information current?", "kind": "boundary" } ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "manage", "name": "Manage", "description": "Impacts and management.", "rationale": "Regulation.", "layers": [ { "id": "impacts", "name": "Impacts", "description": "Impacts.", "findings": [ { "id": "impacts-finding", "name": "Impacts", "description": "Impacts.", "questions": [ { "text": "What impacts do droughts have on water, agriculture, health and economies, with sources?", "kind": "provenance" }, { "text": "Is the user in an area with water emergencies, which needs local authorities?", "kind": "boundary" } ] } ] }, { "id": "management", "name": "Management", "description": "Management.", "findings": [ { "id": "management-finding", "name": "Management", "description": "Management.", "questions": [ { "text": "How do drought plans, water restrictions and relief programmes work?", "kind": "provenance" }, { "text": "Which entry fits water management?", "kind": "action" } ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "context", "name": "Context", "description": "Climate and history.", "rationale": "Attribution.", "layers": [ { "id": "climate", "name": "Climate", "description": "Climate change.", "findings": [ { "id": "climate-finding", "name": "Climate", "description": "Climate.", "questions": [ { "text": "How is climate change affecting drought, as the IPCC and attribution studies find?", "kind": "provenance" }, { "text": "Which sources are cited?", "kind": "provenance" } ] } ] }, { "id": "history", "name": "History", "description": "Historical droughts.", "findings": [ { "id": "history-finding", "name": "History", "description": "History.", "questions": [ { "text": "What were major historical droughts and megadroughts, as reconstructed by scientists and historians?", "kind": "provenance" }, { "text": "Which entry fits the specific event?", "kind": "action" } ] } ] } ] } ] }, "openQuestions": [ "Should flash drought and megadrought be separate entries?", "How should monitoring services be linked?", "The registry entry has merged aliases naming drought types; should they be split off?" ], "statistics": { "bundles": 4, "layers": 8, "findings": 8, "questions": 16 } }