{ "vercy": "1.0-draft", "publication": { "status": "research-draft", "adjudicationStatus": "unreviewed", "publishableCanonical": false, "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T22:29:46Z", "providers": [ "Claude" ], "breadth": "written by Claude from model knowledge without web access - no source was read, every claim is a lead to verify", "pass": 2, "wave": 4, "engine": "claude", "enrichment": { "pass": 3, "engine": "claude", "producedAt": "2026-10-06T11:00:00Z", "ingestedAt": "2026-10-06T07:42:02+00:00", "fields": [ "agent_conduct", "ethics", "owners" ] }, "revisions": [ { "at": "2026-10-06T22:55:11+00:00", "engine": "codex", "fields": [ "agent_conduct", "definition", "distinguishing_features", "ethics", "failure_modes_and_hazards", "owners", "purpose", "visual_identification" ], "answering_review": "aaf406f6e554c25a39bf9d5ff01a1f3446d2ba80113d305f724887e053f8420d" } ], "gate": { "passed": true, "version": "1.0", "at": "2026-10-07T10:10:31+00:00", "evidence": [ "completeness 1.00", "sense: Wikidata description", "2 live sources", "review by codex: pass" ] } }, "metaModel": { "id": "THING-Q55919789", "registryId": "vr.tr.tendency", "name": "tendency", "version": "0.2.0-wave.4", "entryKind": "thing", "family": "Thing Registry", "domain": [ "XCT.QLT" ], "status": "research-draft" }, "canonicalUrl": "https://ver.cy/models/thing/q55919789/", "model": { "registry_id": "vr.tr.tendency", "name": "tendency", "purpose": "Let an agent explain tendencies as propensities of entities, describe the conditions and evidence supporting a claimed tendency, and distinguish propensity from observed trends, statistical bias, probability, causation and correlation.", "definition": "A characteristic of an entity that makes a particular outcome or event more likely than it would otherwise be under relevant conditions; a tendency is a propensity, not a guarantee, and is distinct from a statistical trend or bias.", "what_it_is_for": "Describing inclinations and systematic deviations.", "affordances": [ "explain senses of tendency", "relay bias types and corrections", "describe named aliases", "distinguish related concepts" ], "distinguishing_features": [ "A tendency is attributed to an entity as a characteristic.", "It makes a particular outcome more likely under relevant conditions.", "A tendency does not guarantee that the outcome will occur.", "An observed statistical pattern may provide evidence of a tendency but is not itself the propensity." ], "appearance": "Not a physical object; seen in data patterns and behaviour.", "visual_identification": [ "A tendency is a propensity toward an outcome and has no necessary visible form.", "Repeated outcomes under relevant conditions may provide evidence of a tendency without conclusively establishing it.", "A trend is a pattern of change in observations, while statistical bias is a systematic deviation in measurement or estimation.", "Probability quantifies likelihood, correlation describes association, and central tendency summarises the centre of a distribution." ], "physical_properties": [ { "quantity": "registry parents", "typical_range": "quality, contributing factor, possibility", "unit": "note", "note": "" }, { "quantity": "ecological fallacy named", "typical_range": "1950", "unit": "year", "note": "Robinson s study, attributed" }, { "quantity": "price stickiness", "typical_range": "key idea in New Keynesian economics", "unit": "note", "note": "" } ], "families_and_kinds": [ "trends", "statistical biases", "cognitive biases", "stickiness in economics", "dispositions" ], "related_models": [ { "relation": "is a kind of", "target": "quality", "why": "in registry terms" }, { "relation": "includes", "target": "bias (statistics)", "why": "" }, { "relation": "includes", "target": "ecological fallacy", "why": "related to aggregation bias" }, { "relation": "is contrasted with", "target": "central tendency", "why": "" } ], "identifiers": [], "standards_and_regulation": [ "Survey methodology standards such as AAPOR codes", "Measurement uncertainty guides such as the GUM" ], "failure_modes_and_hazards": [ "Treating a tendency as a guarantee can produce false predictions.", "Inferring an entity's propensity from a trend or correlation alone can overstate the evidence.", "Applying group-level tendencies to individuals can produce unsupported judgments.", "Confusing a propensity with statistical bias can misrepresent both concepts." ], "in_scope": [], "out_of_scope": [], "characteristics": [], "agent_conduct": { "may": [ "Describe an entity's claimed propensity with the supporting evidence, relevant conditions and uncertainty.", "Distinguish evidence of a tendency from observed trends and possible biases in the evidence." ], "must_not": [ "Present a trend or correlation as proof of cause.", "Apply group-level tendencies to an individual as if they were facts about that person.", "Hide known bias in data or measurements used for decisions.", "Conflate an entity's propensity with statistical trends or biases.", "Present a tendency as a guaranteed outcome." ], "requires_human": [ "Using a claimed tendency to make a consequential decision about a specific person requires human judgment." ] }, "ethics": { "considerations": [ "Group tendencies applied to individuals produce stereotyping and unfair treatment.", "Unsupported claims about a person's propensities can harm their autonomy, reputation and opportunities." ], "affected_parties": [ "People judged by attributed tendencies may face consequential decisions.", "Groups subject to stereotypes may face unfair treatment.", "Decision makers depend on accurate accounts of evidence and uncertainty." ] }, "owners": { "steward": "Nobody owns the concept; whoever attributes a tendency to an entity is responsible for the evidence and qualifications supporting that claim.", "master_systems": [] } }, "sources": [ { "id": "wikidata", "title": "Wikidata item Q55919789: tendency", "url": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q55919789", "url_status": "live", "what_it_supports": "identity and sense of the item", "checked_by": "wikidata-api" }, { "id": "wikipedia-en", "title": "Wikipedia: Tendency", "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tendency", "url_status": "live", "what_it_supports": "general description of the item", "checked_by": "wikidata-api sitelink" } ], "structure": { "bundles": [ { "id": "understand", "name": "Understand", "description": "What tendency means.", "rationale": "Definition.", "layers": [ { "id": "definition", "name": "Definition", "description": "Definition.", "findings": [ { "id": "definition-finding", "name": "Definition", "description": "Definition.", "questions": [ { "text": "What is a tendency, and how does it differ from probability, causation, correlation, prejudice and central tendency?", "kind": "definition" }, { "text": "Is the question about statistics, economics, psychology or everyday usage?", "kind": "boundary" } ] } ] }, { "id": "aliases", "name": "Aliases", "description": "Named aliases.", "findings": [ { "id": "aliases-finding", "name": "Aliases", "description": "Aliases.", "questions": [ { "text": "What are stickiness, bias, statistical trends and measurement, survey and aggregation bias?", "kind": "definition" }, { "text": "Which entry fits the specific concept?", "kind": "action" } ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "statistics", "name": "Statistics", "description": "Trends and bias.", "rationale": "Science.", "layers": [ { "id": "trends", "name": "Trends", "description": "Trend detection.", "findings": [ { "id": "trends-finding", "name": "Trends", "description": "Trends.", "questions": [ { "text": "How are statistical trends detected and tested?", "kind": "measurement" }, { "text": "Which references are standard?", "kind": "provenance" } ] } ] }, { "id": "bias", "name": "Bias", "description": "Bias types.", "findings": [ { "id": "bias-finding", "name": "Bias", "description": "Bias.", "questions": [ { "text": "How do measurement, survey and aggregation bias arise and get corrected?", "kind": "provenance" }, { "text": "Which sources are cited?", "kind": "provenance" } ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "economics", "name": "Economics", "description": "Stickiness.", "rationale": "Attribution.", "layers": [ { "id": "prices", "name": "Prices", "description": "Sticky prices.", "findings": [ { "id": "prices-finding", "name": "Prices", "description": "Prices.", "questions": [ { "text": "What evidence exists for sticky prices and wages, with findings attributed?", "kind": "provenance" }, { "text": "Which entry fits nominal rigidity?", "kind": "action" } ] } ] }, { "id": "users", "name": "Users", "description": "User stickiness.", "findings": [ { "id": "users-finding", "name": "Users", "description": "Users.", "questions": [ { "text": "How is stickiness measured for products and platforms?", "kind": "measurement" }, { "text": "Which entry fits customer retention?", "kind": "action" } ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "context", "name": "Context", "description": "Reasoning.", "rationale": "Context.", "layers": [ { "id": "fallacy", "name": "Fallacy", "description": "Ecological fallacy.", "findings": [ { "id": "fallacy-finding", "name": "Fallacy", "description": "Fallacy.", "questions": [ { "text": "What is the ecological fallacy, and how does it relate to aggregation bias?", "kind": "provenance" }, { "text": "Which entry fits ecological fallacy?", "kind": "action" } ] } ] }, { "id": "cognitive", "name": "Cognitive bias", "description": "Cognitive bias.", "findings": [ { "id": "cognitive-finding", "name": "Cognitive bias", "description": "Cognitive bias.", "questions": [ { "text": "How do cognitive biases differ from statistical bias?", "kind": "provenance" }, { "text": "Is the presentation neutral?", "kind": "boundary" } ] } ] } ] } ] }, "openQuestions": [ "Should bias be split into a separate entry from tendency?", "How should statistics references be linked?", "Should stickiness be moved to economics entries?" ], "statistics": { "bundles": 4, "layers": 8, "findings": 8, "questions": 16 } }